Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?HarperCollins, 30 พ.ค. 2017 - 400 หน้า NATIONAL BESTSELLER | NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF THE YEAR. From an eminent international security scholar, an urgent examination of the conditions that could produce a catastrophic conflict between the United States and China—and how it might be prevented. China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. At the time of publication, an unstoppable China approached an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promised to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case was looking grim—it still is. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war. In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides’s Trap—and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today. SHORT-LISTED FOR THE 2018 LIONEL GELBER PRIZE NAMED A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR BY: FINANCIAL TIMES * THE TIMES (LONDON)* AMAZON “Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around.” — President Joe Biden “[A] must-read book in both Washington and Beijing.” — Boston Globe “[Full of] wide-ranging, erudite case studies that span human history . . . [A] fine book.”— New York Times Book Review |
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หน้า vii
... rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, alarm bells should sound: danger ahead. China and the United States are currently on a collision course for war—unless both parties take difficult and painful actions to avert it. As a ...
... rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, alarm bells should sound: danger ahead. China and the United States are currently on a collision course for war—unless both parties take difficult and painful actions to avert it. As a ...
หน้า viii
... rising China on the US and the global order. For seven decades since World War II, a rules-based framework led by Washington has defined world order, producing an era without war among great powers. Most people now think of this as ...
... rising China on the US and the global order. For seven decades since World War II, a rules-based framework led by Washington has defined world order, producing an era without war among great powers. Most people now think of this as ...
หน้า ix
... rising power, America's election of Donald Trump in a campaign that vilified China promises a more vigorous response from the ruling power. As personalities, Trump and Xi could not be more different. As protagonists in a struggle to be ...
... rising power, America's election of Donald Trump in a campaign that vilified China promises a more vigorous response from the ruling power. As personalities, Trump and Xi could not be more different. As protagonists in a struggle to be ...
หน้า 5
... rising leaders of his “neighbor to the North.”2 Every Chinese leader from Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping has called him “mentor,” a term of ultimate respect in Chinese culture. My biggest takeaway from Lee for the new CIA director “The ...
... rising leaders of his “neighbor to the North.”2 Every Chinese leader from Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping has called him “mentor,” a term of ultimate respect in Chinese culture. My biggest takeaway from Lee for the new CIA director “The ...
หน้า 29
... rising power threatens to upend a ruling one. In such conditions, not just extraordinary, unexpected events, but even ordinary flashpoints of foreign affairs, can trigger large-scale conflict. How this dynamic drove Athens and Sparta to ...
... rising power threatens to upend a ruling one. In such conditions, not just extraordinary, unexpected events, but even ordinary flashpoints of foreign affairs, can trigger large-scale conflict. How this dynamic drove Athens and Sparta to ...
เนื้อหา
25 | |
A GATHERING STORM | 87 |
WHY WAR IS NOT INEVITABLE | 185 |
Back Matter | 232 |
Back Flap | 365 |
Back Cover | 366 |
Spine | 367 |
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actions allies allowed American Asia Athens attack attempt avoid balance became become Beijing believe Britain British build called Cambridge cause century challenge China Chinese Churchill civilization claim Cold Crisis decades defense demands dominance East economic Empire Europe European explained fear fleet forces foreign France French future Germany Germany’s global growing growth half Henry Kissinger historian influence interests islands Italy Japan Kennedy King Kissinger Korea land later leaders leading London military million missiles naval navy never North noted nuclear officials Panama Party Peace percent political position president prevent Project question relations remained response rising risk Roosevelt ruling Russia secretary ships South South Korea Soviet Soviet Union Spain strategy territory Theodore threat threatened Thucydides’s trade Trap treaty United University Press wars Washington Western World York