Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 มิ.ย. 2000 - 456 หน้า On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
เนื้อหา
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | xxxi |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
ฉบับอื่นๆ - ดูทั้งหมด
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus ชมบางส่วนของหนังสือ - 2000 |
คำและวลีที่พบบ่อย
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United