Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 หน้า On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
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... continued assistance conditional on monitor- ing , in point of fact few donors followed through with the threat . The US government , for example , made increased monitors a condition for increased aid in 1997 , but actually increased ...
... continued to stabilize throughout the spring , helped by the 28 January 1998 agreement in principle between the South Korean government and its foreign creditors to reschedule short - term debt . By resolving the uncertainty surrounding ...
... Continued weakness in Russia and penetration of the state by Russian criminal groups could foster a supportive environment for North Korean transnational criminal activities . Finally , international organizations could have a ...
เนื้อหา
Introduction | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
ลิขสิทธิ์ | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus ชมบางส่วนของหนังสือ - 2000 |