Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 หน้า On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
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... relatively liquid foreign capital inflows . The problem was that this capital was flowing into a fragile , bank- centered financial system that was incapable of efficiently intermediating the capital inflow . The system was fragile for ...
... relatively low productiv- ity activities ( the army ) into relatively higher productivity activities in the civilian economy . National income increases . So does the tax base . In other words , those lowly paid conscripts leave the ...
... relatively low levels of South Korean private investment in the North , combined with relatively high levels of North - South labor migration . The result depends on two critical assumptions : first , that capital invested in the North ...
เนื้อหา
Introduction | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
ลิขสิทธิ์ | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus ชมบางส่วนของหนังสือ - 2000 |