Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 73
หน้า 3
... chapter 2 , after languishing for a decade , a series of fundamental economic reforms were initiated in 1963. The result was an explosion of economic growth during which South Korea experienced on average a 7 percent real per capita ...
... chapter 2 , after languishing for a decade , a series of fundamental economic reforms were initiated in 1963. The result was an explosion of economic growth during which South Korea experienced on average a 7 percent real per capita ...
หน้า 4
Noland, Marcus. mobilizing resources . As described in chapter 3 , the conventional wisdom is that per capita income in the North exceeded that in the South until the 1970s . However , by this time , opportunities to grow through ...
Noland, Marcus. mobilizing resources . As described in chapter 3 , the conventional wisdom is that per capita income in the North exceeded that in the South until the 1970s . However , by this time , opportunities to grow through ...
หน้า 5
... chapter 4 , an interna- tional confrontation ensued , involving the US , North Korea , and the United Nations . The upshot was that the United States and North Korea signed an " Agreed Framework " ( reproduced in Appendix A ) specifying ...
... chapter 4 , an interna- tional confrontation ensued , involving the US , North Korea , and the United Nations . The upshot was that the United States and North Korea signed an " Agreed Framework " ( reproduced in Appendix A ) specifying ...
หน้า 12
... chapters , provides an overview of the South and North Korean economies . There has been so little interaction between ... chapter 9 , it is logically possible , though unlikely , that the Kim regime could collapse and a successor regime ...
... chapters , provides an overview of the South and North Korean economies . There has been so little interaction between ... chapter 9 , it is logically possible , though unlikely , that the Kim regime could collapse and a successor regime ...
หน้า 13
... chapters 4 , 5 , and 6 , examines the three crises that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today - the North ... ( chapter 9 ) in the North . Obviously these alternative outcomes in North Korea will be partly shaped by , and have ...
... chapters 4 , 5 , and 6 , examines the three crises that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today - the North ... ( chapter 9 ) in the North . Obviously these alternative outcomes in North Korea will be partly shaped by , and have ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program