Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
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˹éÒ vi
... Collapse The German Experience Relevance to Korea A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification Dynamic Results Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea ...
... Collapse The German Experience Relevance to Korea A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification Dynamic Results Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea ...
˹éÒ xii
... collapse and absorption into the South , and an intermediate scenario in which the North muddles through , making ad hoc adjustments as circumstances dictate , supported finan- cially in this endeavor by external powers which , for ...
... collapse and absorption into the South , and an intermediate scenario in which the North muddles through , making ad hoc adjustments as circumstances dictate , supported finan- cially in this endeavor by external powers which , for ...
˹éÒ 4
... collapse of the Soviet Union and the subsequent breakup of the Eastern Bloc was a major macroeconomic shock that ush- ered in a period of as yet unabated decline . By the mid - 1990s , the North's dream of unifying the peninsula began ...
... collapse of the Soviet Union and the subsequent breakup of the Eastern Bloc was a major macroeconomic shock that ush- ered in a period of as yet unabated decline . By the mid - 1990s , the North's dream of unifying the peninsula began ...
˹éÒ 7
... collapsed under a mountain of bad debt . In July 1997 , the Bank of Thailand severed the Thai baht's link to the US ... collapse in the North were to occur . Prospects for the Future On the Korean peninsula , the world confronts a face ...
... collapsed under a mountain of bad debt . In July 1997 , the Bank of Thailand severed the Thai baht's link to the US ... collapse in the North were to occur . Prospects for the Future On the Korean peninsula , the world confronts a face ...
˹éÒ 8
... collapse could amount to hundreds of billions of dollars . Moreover , the Korean peninsula is a fulcrum on which relations between the United States and China , the United States and Japan , and China and Japan all turn . The range of ...
... collapse could amount to hundreds of billions of dollars . Moreover , the Korean peninsula is a fulcrum on which relations between the United States and China , the United States and Japan , and China and Japan all turn . The range of ...
à¹×éÍËÒ
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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