Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 73
หน้า 3
... example of dynastic Stalinism . As with many centralized planning systems , it achieved some early success in 5. See Kim and Roemer ( 1979 ) on the distribution of assets at the end of the war . In the two decades following the war ...
... example of dynastic Stalinism . As with many centralized planning systems , it achieved some early success in 5. See Kim and Roemer ( 1979 ) on the distribution of assets at the end of the war . In the two decades following the war ...
หน้า 4
... only with surname and initials , it will be given in the Western pattern , as J.C. Kim , for example . fact that its 10,000 forward - deployed artillery tubes already 4 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE Economic Policy in the 1960s.
... only with surname and initials , it will be given in the Western pattern , as J.C. Kim , for example . fact that its 10,000 forward - deployed artillery tubes already 4 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE Economic Policy in the 1960s.
หน้า 11
... example , have a two steps forward , one step back character . But the question remains whether its system - preserving reforms in the form of tourism projects , mining enclaves , and special economic zones will be sufficient to ...
... example , have a two steps forward , one step back character . But the question remains whether its system - preserving reforms in the form of tourism projects , mining enclaves , and special economic zones will be sufficient to ...
หน้า 12
... example , that rather than the peaceful collapse and absorption that occurred in East Germany , North Korea could plunge into a civil war , possibly involving the interven- tion of external powers , or it could even lash out militarily ...
... example , that rather than the peaceful collapse and absorption that occurred in East Germany , North Korea could plunge into a civil war , possibly involving the interven- tion of external powers , or it could even lash out militarily ...
หน้า 15
... Sakong ( 1980 ) and Woo ( 1991 ) for examples . 2. Sakong ( 1993 ) and Cho ( 1994 ) both provide excellent overviews of postwar South Korean economic development . system , encouraged rent - seeking behavior and the development 15 2.
... Sakong ( 1980 ) and Woo ( 1991 ) for examples . 2. Sakong ( 1993 ) and Cho ( 1994 ) both provide excellent overviews of postwar South Korean economic development . system , encouraged rent - seeking behavior and the development 15 2.
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program