Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 69
หน้า 4
... given in the normal Korean sequence , with surname first . The surname is then followed by the generational and given names with a hyphen between them for ease in distinguishing the components . When citing a name only with surname and ...
... given in the normal Korean sequence , with surname first . The surname is then followed by the generational and given names with a hyphen between them for ease in distinguishing the components . When citing a name only with surname and ...
หน้า 5
... given its growing capacity for wreaking havoc , assistance was forthcoming . In the case of the United States , negotiations relating to the North Korean missile program , its nuclear program , and the " Four - Party Talks " aimed at ...
... given its growing capacity for wreaking havoc , assistance was forthcoming . In the case of the United States , negotiations relating to the North Korean missile program , its nuclear program , and the " Four - Party Talks " aimed at ...
หน้า 9
... given up hope of reunifiying the peninsula on its own terms , its may be amenable to a reform process that could amount to " unification through golden parachutes , " in which the elite uses its control of the state to channel rents for ...
... given up hope of reunifiying the peninsula on its own terms , its may be amenable to a reform process that could amount to " unification through golden parachutes , " in which the elite uses its control of the state to channel rents for ...
หน้า 10
... given North Korea an opportunity to develop more effective means of extorting resources out of the rest of the world and of pushing for unification on their own terms ( or redoubling a defensively- oriented arms build - up ) . North ...
... given North Korea an opportunity to develop more effective means of extorting resources out of the rest of the world and of pushing for unification on their own terms ( or redoubling a defensively- oriented arms build - up ) . North ...
หน้า 11
... given obstacles to successful reform , such an externally high - risk strategy might be the path of least resistance internally to a weak and risk - averse regime . Today the North Korean elite appears to be split in this regard ...
... given obstacles to successful reform , such an externally high - risk strategy might be the path of least resistance internally to a weak and risk - averse regime . Today the North Korean elite appears to be split in this regard ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program