Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
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... investment 51 Figure 3.1 Estimates of North Korean GDP 80 Figure 3.2 North Korean trade 89 Figure 3.3 North Koran arms trade 93 Figure 3.4 Figure 3.5 Figure 3.6 North Korean debt and debt service - export ratio North Korean debt prices ...
... investment 51 Figure 3.1 Estimates of North Korean GDP 80 Figure 3.2 North Korean trade 89 Figure 3.3 North Koran arms trade 93 Figure 3.4 Figure 3.5 Figure 3.6 North Korean debt and debt service - export ratio North Korean debt prices ...
˹éÒ 9
Noland, Marcus. to international trade and investment ( much of this with South Korea and Japan , two countries with which North Korea maintains problematic relations ) , and second , changes in the composition of output would be ...
Noland, Marcus. to international trade and investment ( much of this with South Korea and Japan , two countries with which North Korea maintains problematic relations ) , and second , changes in the composition of output would be ...
˹éÒ 20
... investment in the 11. The government also encouraged the establishment of general trading firms along Japanese lines , granting them special administrative and financial benefits and special allow- ances for foreign exchange . The ...
... investment in the 11. The government also encouraged the establishment of general trading firms along Japanese lines , granting them special administrative and financial benefits and special allow- ances for foreign exchange . The ...
˹éÒ 21
... investment ( Balassa 1990 ) . These policies gave rise to serious moral hazard problems , as large chaebol could undertake ever larger investments , confident that the gov- ernment would not permit large projects in priority sectors to ...
... investment ( Balassa 1990 ) . These policies gave rise to serious moral hazard problems , as large chaebol could undertake ever larger investments , confident that the gov- ernment would not permit large projects in priority sectors to ...
˹éÒ 24
... investment ( Leipziger and Petri 1993 ) . Moreover , by 1986 the negative external shocks of the early 1980s had been reversed , and the South Korean economy received a boost in the form of the " three blessings " -the fall in the oil ...
... investment ( Leipziger and Petri 1993 ) . Moreover , by 1986 the negative external shocks of the early 1980s had been reversed , and the South Korean economy received a boost in the form of the " three blessings " -the fall in the oil ...
à¹×éÍËÒ
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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