Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 68
หน้า vii
... output , 1992-96 69 Table 3.3 Government budget balance 70 Table 3.4 General government revenues , 1996 71 Table 3.5 Socioeconomic indicators , 1992 74 Table 3.6 Educational attainment rates Table 3.7 Distribution of labor force at time ...
... output , 1992-96 69 Table 3.3 Government budget balance 70 Table 3.4 General government revenues , 1996 71 Table 3.5 Socioeconomic indicators , 1992 74 Table 3.6 Educational attainment rates Table 3.7 Distribution of labor force at time ...
หน้า viii
... Output by sector 278 Figure 7.4 Relative price of output by sector 279 Figure 7.5 Percent change in average factor price 279 Figure 8.1 Capital inflow and exchange rate appreciation 306 Figure 8.2 External capital flow : composition of ...
... Output by sector 278 Figure 7.4 Relative price of output by sector 279 Figure 7.5 Percent change in average factor price 279 Figure 8.1 Capital inflow and exchange rate appreciation 306 Figure 8.2 External capital flow : composition of ...
หน้า 2
... output of mining and manufactures was three times as high in the North as in the South , only 35 percent of the colony's heavy industry was located in the South , and 80 percent of the South's electricity was supplied by hydroelectric ...
... output of mining and manufactures was three times as high in the North as in the South , only 35 percent of the colony's heavy industry was located in the South , and 80 percent of the South's electricity was supplied by hydroelectric ...
หน้า 9
... output would be tremendous , involving literally millions of workers changing employ- ment . Both of these developments could be expected to have enormous political implications and could present significant , perhaps insurmount- able ...
... output would be tremendous , involving literally millions of workers changing employ- ment . Both of these developments could be expected to have enormous political implications and could present significant , perhaps insurmount- able ...
หน้า 10
... output to sustain its population biologically , nor , absent fundamental economic reforms , will it do so in the future . Under current conditions , North Korea will require external support for the foreseeable future . Yet the world ...
... output to sustain its population biologically , nor , absent fundamental economic reforms , will it do so in the future . Under current conditions , North Korea will require external support for the foreseeable future . Yet the world ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program