Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 87
หน้า xii
... percent of the Institute's resources in our latest fiscal year were provided by contributors outside the United States , including about 11 percent from Japan . The Freeman Foundation and the Korea Foundation have provided generous ...
... percent of the Institute's resources in our latest fiscal year were provided by contributors outside the United States , including about 11 percent from Japan . The Freeman Foundation and the Korea Foundation have provided generous ...
หน้า 2
... percent of the colony's heavy industry was located in the South , and 80 percent of the South's electricity was supplied by hydroelectric dams in the North.2 At the conclusion of the Second World War in 1945 , Korea was parti- tioned ...
... percent of the colony's heavy industry was located in the South , and 80 percent of the South's electricity was supplied by hydroelectric dams in the North.2 At the conclusion of the Second World War in 1945 , Korea was parti- tioned ...
หน้า 12
... percent of the respondents predicted that the current regime would not last a decade ( Y.S. Lee 1995 ) . In a more recent poll , the respondents ' mean subjective probability of collapse was 26 percent , while the mean estimate of ...
... percent of the respondents predicted that the current regime would not last a decade ( Y.S. Lee 1995 ) . In a more recent poll , the respondents ' mean subjective probability of collapse was 26 percent , while the mean estimate of ...
หน้า 19
... percent ( Yoo 1994 ) .10 These loans carried , on average , negative real interest rates , and the annual interest subsidy grew from about 3 percent of GNP in 1962-71 to approxi- mately 10 percent of GNP on average between 1972 and 1979 ...
... percent ( Yoo 1994 ) .10 These loans carried , on average , negative real interest rates , and the annual interest subsidy grew from about 3 percent of GNP in 1962-71 to approxi- mately 10 percent of GNP on average between 1972 and 1979 ...
หน้า 20
... percent to 20 percent for the targeted industries . These industries also received trade protection . As might be expected , allocative efficiency declined , and the marginal product of capital was lower in the favored sectors ...
... percent to 20 percent for the targeted industries . These industries also received trade protection . As might be expected , allocative efficiency declined , and the marginal product of capital was lower in the favored sectors ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program