Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 83
หน้า 3
... Political modernization and democratization followed , and , by the 1990s , South Korea was surely one of the most democratic societies in Asia . In the North , a thoroughly orthodox Soviet - type central planning model was adopted by ...
... Political modernization and democratization followed , and , by the 1990s , South Korea was surely one of the most democratic societies in Asia . In the North , a thoroughly orthodox Soviet - type central planning model was adopted by ...
หน้า 5
... political relations . This agreement , in essence , sought ( through the provision of economic and political induce- ments ) to halt North Korea's further development of nuclear weapons . This agreement is the centerpiece of North ...
... political relations . This agreement , in essence , sought ( through the provision of economic and political induce- ments ) to halt North Korea's further development of nuclear weapons . This agreement is the centerpiece of North ...
หน้า 7
... political crises hit the country - two former presidents , Chun Doo - hwan and Roh Tae- woo , were jailed on ... politics . exports ballistic missiles and is thought to possess large stores INTRODUCTION 7 Economic Policy in the 1970s.
... political crises hit the country - two former presidents , Chun Doo - hwan and Roh Tae- woo , were jailed on ... politics . exports ballistic missiles and is thought to possess large stores INTRODUCTION 7 Economic Policy in the 1970s.
หน้า 9
... political implications and could present significant , perhaps insurmount- able , obstacles to reform under the current regime . As an alternative , the regime could stand pat and hope to ride out its difficulties . Although this holds ...
... political implications and could present significant , perhaps insurmount- able , obstacles to reform under the current regime . As an alternative , the regime could stand pat and hope to ride out its difficulties . Although this holds ...
หน้า 10
... political regime ) would be disastrous in human terms and pose great risks to international political stability , especially if it were accompanied by civil war and military intervention by external powers . Surrounding coun- tries ...
... political regime ) would be disastrous in human terms and pose great risks to international political stability , especially if it were accompanied by civil war and military intervention by external powers . Surrounding coun- tries ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program