Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 77
หน้า 4
... regime's economic options and leaving it dependent on the Eastern Bloc for support . The situation worsened in the mid - 1980s as relations deteriorated with its principal benefactor , the Soviet Union , and aid from fraternal socialist ...
... regime's economic options and leaving it dependent on the Eastern Bloc for support . The situation worsened in the mid - 1980s as relations deteriorated with its principal benefactor , the Soviet Union , and aid from fraternal socialist ...
หน้า 8
... regime is irredeemable , should not the rest of the world act to hasten its demise ? If so , what policies should be ... regime ; they can stand pat and try to ride out the current crisis , risking collapse ; or they can seek to " muddle ...
... regime is irredeemable , should not the rest of the world act to hasten its demise ? If so , what policies should be ... regime ; they can stand pat and try to ride out the current crisis , risking collapse ; or they can seek to " muddle ...
หน้า 9
... regime . As an alternative , the regime could stand pat and hope to ride out its difficulties . Although this holds the promise of short - run political stability , if current trends continue it eventually will put a significant share ...
... regime . As an alternative , the regime could stand pat and hope to ride out its difficulties . Although this holds the promise of short - run political stability , if current trends continue it eventually will put a significant share ...
หน้า 10
... regime ) would be disastrous in human terms and pose great risks to international political stability , especially if it were accompanied by civil war and military intervention by external powers . Surrounding coun- tries — South Korea ...
... regime ) would be disastrous in human terms and pose great risks to international political stability , especially if it were accompanied by civil war and military intervention by external powers . Surrounding coun- tries — South Korea ...
หน้า 11
... regime . Today the North Korean elite appears to be split in this regard . " Pyong- yang's hesitant steps toward economic reform , for example , have a two steps forward , one step back character . But the question remains whether its ...
... regime . Today the North Korean elite appears to be split in this regard . " Pyong- yang's hesitant steps toward economic reform , for example , have a two steps forward , one step back character . But the question remains whether its ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program