Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
จากด้านในหนังสือ
ผลการค้นหา 1 - 5 จาก 68
หน้า xii
... tion , the North Korean famine , and the South Korean financial disruption ) that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today . Noland analyzes possible future developments in terms of three scenar- ios : successful reform in the ...
... tion , the North Korean famine , and the South Korean financial disruption ) that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today . Noland analyzes possible future developments in terms of three scenar- ios : successful reform in the ...
หน้า 1
... tion is highly homogenous . In the first century BC three kingdoms were established with borders roughly corresponding to those of contemporary North and South Korea . One of these kingdoms eventually established its dominance , and the ...
... tion is highly homogenous . In the first century BC three kingdoms were established with borders roughly corresponding to those of contemporary North and South Korea . One of these kingdoms eventually established its dominance , and the ...
หน้า 5
... tion with the United States , it was sliding into a famine that may have claimed roughly 10 percent of the precrisis population . As demonstrated in chapter 5 , the famine was a product of decades of economic mismanage- ment , and ...
... tion with the United States , it was sliding into a famine that may have claimed roughly 10 percent of the precrisis population . As demonstrated in chapter 5 , the famine was a product of decades of economic mismanage- ment , and ...
หน้า 7
... tion creates fundamental policy dilemmas of enormous practical and ethical import for the rest of the world . Judged in terms of the share of population under arms or the share of military expenditures in national income , North Korea ...
... tion creates fundamental policy dilemmas of enormous practical and ethical import for the rest of the world . Judged in terms of the share of population under arms or the share of military expenditures in national income , North Korea ...
หน้า 8
... tion . In 1993 it became the first and only country to declare its intention to withdraw from the Nuclear Non - Proliferation Treaty ( NPT ) , a move it later " suspended . " It invaded the South once and in subsequent years engaged in ...
... tion . In 1993 it became the first and only country to declare its intention to withdraw from the Nuclear Non - Proliferation Treaty ( NPT ) , a move it later " suspended . " It invaded the South once and in subsequent years engaged in ...
เนื้อหา
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program